Our weekly advice also includes the ultimate inside sources at every PGA Tour event—the caddies. The greens themselves are slightly elevated which stresses good … Of course, we have predicted five of the season's 15 events correctly. If you've been following our picks, you're definitely up money. He’s been putting himself in better scoring position than Kirk. 2 in the world, this will be Rose’s first PGA Tour start since losing his No. Our experts (including Pat Mayo of DraftKings; Brandon Gdula of FanDuel; Dr. Lou Riccio of Columbia University and Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports) have pinpointed some players they're liking to build around Rory this week. Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint). If you think a top-10 finish is a little too risky, his top-20 odds (+750) and top-30 odds (+430) are also quite appealing. He can score well enough on the par 5s to contend. Sam Ryder: $6,400 To quote Ricky Bobby, if you ain't first, you're last. List is a bomber, which gives him a significant advantage over Hadwin to play well at Bay Hill. We want the gold. Golf Digest editors: Marc Leishman (+220) — Not the best odds here for a top-10 bet. You can find full first round tee times at the bottom of this post. Golf Digest - Though the Arnold Palmer Invitational is a staple on the PGA Tour that golf fans look forward to, players might be wincing as they arrive at Bay Hill this year. Kevin Na: $9,200 THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. © 2021 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks: Our experts' favorite lineups for Bay Hill, placing a $10 bet on every outright bet a result of $1,770, Listen to this week's Golf Digest podcast. There are other options in this range—Marc Leishman, Hideki Matsuyama, Francesco Molinari—whose games are better suited to Bay Hill. March 3, 2021 by admin 0 Comments. 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks To Win (Odds from MGM Sportsbook) Anonymous Caddie Picker of the Week: Rory McIlroy (5-1) — Tough to pick against Rory these days. This 7,400 yard par 72 is a good mixture with some challenges to get from tee to green. Riccio: Patrick Reed (31-1) — Reed finished T-7 here last year before his Masters victory. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Share on Pinterest. Rose always seems to play well at Bay Hill, having finished third last year and he was also the runner-up in 2013, along with a bunch of other top finishes. PGA Tour Caddie: Keith Mitchell (+1000 ... bet $10 to win $100) — There’s very good value there for the guy who won last week and whose confidence must be at an all-time high. By Mark Abell Mar 2, 2021, 2:00pm EST Share this story. Jason Day ($9,900); Hideki Matsuyama ($9,300); Ian Poulter ($8,000); Rafa Cabrera Bello ($7,500); Nate Lashley ($6,900). Here’s a link to watch his complete DraftKings preview of the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Currently ranked No. Alldrick: — Here’s a DraftKings lineup I like this week. His 21 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are third-most all-time. Tyrrell Hatton - $8,100 USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OUR VISITOR AGREEMENT (UPDATED 1/1/20), PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE (UPDATED 1/1/20) AND CALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Predicting golf tournaments is tough enough—don’t let your mind talk you out of winning bets. The Open champion has made huge strides on the greens over the past 18 months, but on really fast greens, he still struggles. Even the most contrarian of contrarian fantasy golf players will have trouble fading Rory McIlroy this week. Sorting with Fantasy National, in his past 75 rounds, he trails only Brian Gay in strokes gained/putting in the field, and he is gaining strokes against this field at a 63-percent clip over his past 100 rounds. Not great. Rory McIlroy - $12,200 For most of the week, they looked prophetic. FakeTeams | 4h. Lee Alldrick, FanShare: Rafa Cabrera Bello (FanDuel: $9,600; DraftKings: $7,600) — Thanks to his straight and long driving, RCB ranks second in our course-suitability ranking this week and showed this when finishing 3rd here last year on his first attempt. That’s why I like him. Riccio: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; PGA Tour Caddie: 0 for 1; Mayo: 0 for 1), (Top-10 results for the year: Mayo: 6 for 9; GD Editors: 3 for 8; PGA Tour Caddie: 3 for 9; Riccio: 2 for 8; Gdula: 1 for 8). Johnson isn't extremely high on McIlroy, even though he is the Vegas favorite. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Two top-20 finishes in a row in his past two times out gives us confidence that his game is in a good place right now. While the irons are are inconsistent, when he’s dialed in, he tends to gain in bunches. Compare that to Koepka, who has failed to crack the top 25 here in three tries. Mayo: Ian Poulter (+100) over Lucas Glover (Bodog) — Yes, Glover’s uber hot right now, but, sneakily, so is Poulter. Pepperell, in particular, is in my top 10 on my model this week, which is why I'm so high on him. Marc Leishman won the 2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational and finished T-3 here last year. In fact, it can be more agonizing to come close. He’s more in the 5 percent range. For anyone who has placed a wager before, you know there's no prize for almost winning your bet. Share on Pinterest. They're all in my top-20 most likely players to win this week. That’s because Bay Hill played as the most difficult course on tour in 2020, playing 2.1 strokes over par on average. That allows for more risk in your lineup, but I choose to add win probability to my lineups with the balanced approach. Marc Leishman - $8,600 Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National analyst: Jason Day (14-1) — Here are the reasons I feel so strongly about Jason Day this week: The Aussie’s a former champ at Bay Hill, doesn’t have a finish outside the Top 25 since last year’s FedEx Cup playoffs, and comes to Orlando with consecutive top-5 finishes. The positive? Eddie Pepperell, Kevin Na, Aaron Wise and Austin Cook are three players who my statistical model gives way better odds to win than their DFS prices imply. That’s because Bay Hill played as the most difficult course on tour in 2020, playing 2.1 strokes over par on average. Stephen Hennessey and Christopher Powers are Golf Digest's main gambling writers. It's good to see him playing here in the U.S. before The Players, and though not the longest hitter (282 yards off the tee), he hits greens in regulation at a stellar rate. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire editor: Bryson DeChambeau (17-1) — I don’t love the pairing with Brooks Koepka, but Bryson stands out on Bermuda and grades out well in all of my key stats this week, including proximity from 200-plus yards. NEWS: The PGA TOUR Partners with Amazon Web Services ; OMG: Bryson Might Try Carrying the Water on the 555-yard Par 5 This Week; Tiger Woods Recovery Update // Plus More From Around the World of Golf; TRENDING: Troon Partners with Shot Scope; View All; Podcasts. Golf Digest editors:Si-Woo Kim (70-1) — Quietly, Si Woo Kim is becoming an elite player in the game, but the odds haven't adjusted yet. 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions, Value Plays of the Week. Golf Digest editors: Francesco Molinari (29-1) — Speaking of Molinari, he's our fade. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Only four players—winner Tyrrell Hatton, Marc Leishman, Sungjae Im and Bryson DeChambeau ended the … Any of the first five players could easily win this week. Here's who our panel likes for this week: 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions, Under the Radar Picks of the Week, Pat Mayo, DraftKings: Harry Higgs (FanDuel: $7,900; DraftKings: $6,700) — You’d think Higgs would eventually turn into a pumpkin based on his currently play. Final-round performance, however, where Rory is 105th on tour, is his weakness. News. Share on Twitter. Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2020 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award, and was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). He’s gained off the tee in 12 of his 13 PGA starts this season, playing the weekend in eight of his past nine. Please upgrade to Internet Explorer 11 or use a Pat Mayo is known as one of the pre-eminent experts in daily-fantasy sports and golf handicapping specifically. (David Cannon/Getty Images) EXPERT PICKS How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM … While predicting golf isn’t strictly about math, wagering on golf is always about math. Predicting golf tournaments is tough enough—don’t let your mind talk you out of winning bets. 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks To Win (Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook) PGA Tour Caddie Guest Picker of the Week: Justin Rose (11-1) — Chalk up a victory for Justin Rose. Predicting golf tournaments is tough enough—don’t let your mind talk you out of winning bets. Gdula: Chesson Hadley (-120) over Chris Kirk (Topbet) — Hadley leads the field in proximity gained over his past 100 rounds, via FantasyNational.com, and ranks fifth strokes gained/approach in that span, as well. We love the recent form and course history with Leish Daddy. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OUR VISITOR AGREEMENT (UPDATED 1/1/20), PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE (UPDATED 1/1/20) AND CALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Photo by Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports Home GOLF Picks. The key to this week will be building around Rory if you’re going to cash a lineup. 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, odds, field grade, best bets at Bay Hill The second week of a big month-long Florida swing takes place at a mainstay in PGA Tour history Dr. Lou Riccio, Columbia University: Rory McIlroy (7-1) — Rory has arguably had the best possible season you could have without winning. His putting on Bermuda is very fair to middling but with him likely to be creating a lot of opportunities an average putting display this week should be more than enough to return value. More from Golf Digest Arnold Palmer Invitational 2021 expert picks: Our bold back-to-back prediction A closer look at Bay Hill's 11th hole and how it achieves intrigue and difficulty Our Golf Digest contributor Pat Mayo … Even with 120 players you are looking at a pretty elite field of PGA Tour golfers this week. Riccio: Keith Mitchell (+100) over Sungjae Im (Topbet) — So, you're telling me I can get Keith Mitchell at even odds—the same guy who won last week? PGA Tour Caddie: Brooks Koepka (11-1) — I know, Koepka just finished T-2 just last week at Honda, but in three starts at Bay Hill, he has a WD, a missed cut and a T26. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. He’s a long-shot, yes, but there’s still value in his top-10 and top-20 odds this week. Maverick McNealy - $7,400 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks, rankings, fantasy golf and betting tips for Draft Kings, FanDuel, Golf Channel, PGATour.com fantasy games Arnold Palmer Invitational Best Value Picks. Brandon Gdula, a senior editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 fantasy sports-writers association Golf Writer of the Year (congrats, Brandon!). The next tournament on the Florida Swing is the Arnold Palmer Invitational (API) at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Fantasy DraftKings preview: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard The next tournament on the Florida Swing is the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented … PGA Tour Caddie Guest Picker of the Week: Justin Rose (11-1) — Chalk up a victory for Justin Rose. Though the Arnold Palmer Invitational is a staple on the PGA Tour that golf fans look forward to, players might be wincing as they arrive at Bay Hill this year. With a top-heavy field and some possible regression coming his way, I’ll avoid Rickie at these odds. Always lean ball striking over putting and pray for the best. But we'll gladly take double the money on what we think is a high possibility. Eventually that flips back to his baseline and he’s screwed. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. That made it easy to start my lineup with the two players who have the best odds to win, according to my model, Rory and Rose. (Matchup results last week: PGA Tour Caddie: 1 or 1 (Lucas Glover over Jim Furyk); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Sungjae Im over Dylan Frittelli); Riccio: 1 for 1 (Zach Johnson over Kiradech Aphibarnrat; Mayo: 0 for 1; GD Editors: 0 for 1), (Matchup results for the year: Riccio: 6 for 8; GD Editors: 5 for 8 (and one push); PGA Tour Caddie: 5 for 8; Gdula and Mayo: both 3 for 6 with one push). Rory McIlroy - $11,800 Rory McIlroy is coming off a T9 at the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship. Share on Pinterest. Losing 4.6 strokes tee-to-green and finishing 54th, the Englishman didn’t look great in his first tournament of the year on U.S. soil. Golf Digest editor Christopher Powers correctly picked Kevin Tway (55-1) to start the season at the Safeway Open. Gdula: — Rory McIlroy (FanDuel: $12,200) is the most expensive golfer in the field, but he’s worth it and is going to be locked into a lot of my lineups. Golf Digest editors: Justin Rose (-110) over Brooks Koepka (DraftKings) — This is as much of a course history thing as it is a statistics-based pick. Please upgrade to Internet Explorer 11 or use a IF YOU ARE A CALIFORNIA RESIDENT AND WOULD LIKE TO EXERCISE YOUR RIGHT TO OPT-OUT OF THIRD-PARTY DATA SHARING, YOU MAY DO SO HERE: DO NOT SELL MY PERSONAL INFORMATION. Sean Zak and Ryan Asselta offer their fantasy golf picks for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks … March 3, 2021 by admin 0 Comments. Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Picks Justin Rose +7000. Rory and Leishman are two players we expect to contend and make a ton of birdies. Only four … All the latest in-depth fantasy sports and sports betting news, including expert advice for fantasy lineups and more. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2021 expert picks: Our bold back-to-back prediction Golf Digest - Stephen Hennessey • 5h Predicting golf tournaments is tough enough—don’t let your mind talk you out of winning bets. Prior to Mexico, DeChambeau hasn't finished outside the top 20 since the PGA Championship. Share on Facebook. Mayo: Nate Lashley (+2100) — Unnoticed by most, Nate Lashley has actually made every cut this season, a perfect 6-for-6. Will Gray shares his Pick 'Em predictions for the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill in Florida. Nobody questions … Though 7-1 aren't the greatest odds, to me he's far and away the favorite here. There's no such thing as a certainty in golf, but in terms of a prediction, this is almost as strong as you can get. Byeong Hun-An ($10,300) and Collin Morikawa ($10,100) are a bit cheap because of the loaded field, and both are elite ball-strikers. 1 Unit to Win 70. Rory McIlroy and Rickie Fowler are elite options that are hard to pass up, too. MENU MENU Get EXCLUSIVE Free Picks… 70: Sunday Red for Tiger … Brandon Gdula, a senior editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 fantasy sports-writers association Golf Writer of the Year (congrats, Brandon!). Rory McIlroy ($11,400); Justin Rose ($10,700); Kevin Na ($7,200); Aaron Wise ($7,000); Eddie Pepperell ($6,800); Austin Cook ($6,500). Fantasy DraftKings preview: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard The next tournament on the Florida Swing is the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented … But Keith Mitchell's clutch 16-footer on the 72nd hole meant the Koepka was a runner-up pick, the fourth time our experts have come sooooo close to finding a winner.

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